{"id":"DXB-001","market":"Dubai","as_of_month":"2026-11","question":"Will this project hand over within 6 months of the first handover date we have on record?","status":"open","answer":"Not enough comparable projects.","estimate":null,"enough_comparables":false,"pooled_context":{"probability_pct":12.8,"low_pct":6,"high_pct":25.2,"closed_projects":47,"on_time":6,"note":"All markets pooled: context only, not an estimate for this project."},"first_handover":"2027-12","advertised_handover":"2027-12","recorded_moves_months":0,"overdue_months":0,"months_to_first_handover":13,"bias":"The tracked projects are the ones being marketed now. Projects that handed over on time and stopped marketing are less likely to be in the data, so the on-time rate among closed projects is very likely lower than the true rate. Treat it as a floor for what this data set shows, not as a forecast.","method":"https://kolaboro.com/index/delays/#odds","data":"/data/on-time.json","licence":"CC BY 4.0 (credit: Kolaboro, kolaboro.com)"}